“Is there or isn’t there a scientific consensus on climate change? And does it matter?”
The BBC’s Richard Black writes in “Climate consensus cracking open – or not”:
Finding the name of a Cambridge University engineering professor, Michael Kelly, on the WSJ letter, I decided to get in touch and find out his reasons for signing.
His basic position is that the kind of energy transformation through which the UK, for example, is planning to go is really tough to achieve in engineering terms, and would be financially ruinous.
To meet the goals of the Climate Change Act (notably an emissions cut of 80% from 1990 levels by 2050) he argues that “we’d really need a command economy of the kind we had in World War 2 if we were really serious about meeting the targets in full.
The rush to renewables is largely driven by hot air, Prof Kelly believes.
“What we need to do will bankrupt us if we really go for it and ignore the rest of the world.”
He would, he says, still endorse the rapid transformation if he thought the scientific evidence for needing it was compelling.
“Are you convinced that the world’s going to hell in a handbasket on the basis of the predictions and what’s been happening for the last 10 or 12 years?
“The answer is simply ‘no’.
“I look back 300 years and I find that the temperature went up by more than it’s gone up recently – in Central England from about 1699 to 1729 it went up by nearly 2C – and nobody said that was carbon dioxide”…