NASA’s top climate guy Gavin Schmidt on climate science.
Mere prediction is soothsaying, not science. Predict-then-verify-and-repeat is the foundation of science.
NASA’s top climate guy Gavin Schmidt on climate science.
Mere prediction is soothsaying, not science. Predict-then-verify-and-repeat is the foundation of science.
That’s a fantastic example of the folly of the Precautionary Principle. And Erin thinks that is a “powerful pitch”!!
Falsifiability is a key to the scientific method and to critical thinking.
http://www.saylor.org/site/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/BIO101-lab-1-4th.pdf
So far the only ways to falsify predictions are to test them (experiments) and to wait for them to come true – or not.
So far the AGW hypothesis has not been able to pass the tests of time. We still have snow and beaches, coral reefs and crops, etc.
Making predictions is easy. Having them come true is another thing, and Gavin, Hansen, IPCC, et al, have failed repeatedly and miserably. I recall a videoclip where a frightened Gavin hid from a televised interview with Dr. Roy Spencer – likely because Roy would have called him out on his predictions and (politely) hung him out to dry.
“well enough” is based on accuracy of predictions–not!