The global warming-believing state climatologist for Texas says that the 2011 drought could last until 2020. But how does he know? The answer is astonishing.
As reported by the Associated Press:
State climatologist John Nielsen-Gammon tells the Austin American-Statesman says water planning is often based on standards set by the previous record drought of the 1950s, which lasted nearly 10 years. Nielsen-Gammon, who also is a Texas A&M professor of atmospheric sciences, says the present drought could be significantly longer-lasting than what has been planned for.
And what’s Nielsen-Gammon’s line of thinking?
He says that, “sooner or later, there will be a drought that’s worse” than the previous standard-setter.
While “sooner or later” may work in pop songs (see video below), it hardly constitutes scientific thinking and isn’t even really very good probabilistic thinking.