“The US government forecaster has issued its most definitive report since first raising the El Niño alert three months ago, forecasting a weak phenomenon that will last until the Northern Hemisphere spring.“
Hmm… maybe. Time will tell what forecasters can’t but we are still not very good at predicting ENSO phases and events. Continue reading
Posted in Agriculture, Climate Change
Tagged drought, El Niño, El Niño Southern Oscillation, ENSO, flood
Lighter rains mean more fires — and more pollution. Continue reading
A couple of productive storms could go a long way to lessen the impacts of the historic drought. But the outlook remains uncertain, officials say. Continue reading
AUSTRALIA’S big wet could finally be over, with a potentially drought-inducing El Nino weather pattern likely to descend on Australia’s east later this year. Continue reading
Yeah, it’s risen to a definite “maybe”, with a chance of “perhaps”. Then again it could stay ENSO neutral or even drift back to La Niña. Continue reading
Posted in Agriculture, Climate Change
“If you thought the first six months of the year were chock full of weird weather events, just wait — according to climate scientists there is an increasing likelihood that El Niño conditions will soon develop in the tropical Pacific Ocean. El Niño events, which are characterized by an area of unusually warm sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean, can have a huge influence on global weather patterns.“
“Unusually warm” Andrew? Not really, just the upper phase of a cycle that occurs every 2-7 years, which makes it kind of “usual” really. Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change
The El Nino phenomena is among the most fascinating yet least understood topics of climate science. Continue reading
“The paper shows how natural climatic shifts stopped reef growth in the eastern Pacific for 2,500 years. The reef shutdown, which began 4,000 years ago…“
What were CO2 levels supposed to be then in definite pre-industrial times? The IPCC says 278 ppmv, right? I’ve seen a lot of coral in the GBR and it is thriving with levels nearing 400 ppmv. Corals didn’t fare so well in the ice age with levels down around the 200 ppmv mark. Corals evolved in the Ordovician with CO2 in the multiple thousand parts per million.
I’m seeing a pattern here – low CO2 bad, higher CO2, good. Continue reading
OUR dams are full, the lambs are fat and the sprinklers are running again. But weather experts are warning Australia’s east coast to brace for a return to dry conditions, perhaps even drought, as another El Nino event looms. Continue reading
Tell-tale signs that an El Niño climate event is looming are detectable up to 18 months beforehand, scientists have found, nine months earlier than current models can predict. Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change
Tagged climate models, climate research, El Niño Southern Oscillation, ENSO
Eye-roller: “A shift away from this year’s La Niña to El Niño could dramatically alter temperature and extreme weather patterns—and global warming may play a role.” Continue reading
One dry year was evidence enough of man-made warming for David Karoly in 2003: Continue reading
THREE of the nation’s leading climate scientists have linked the past two years of record wet weather to climate change in their strongest findings yet on the impact of global warming on the nation’s climate. Continue reading
TIM Flannery, Australia’s Chief Climate Commissioner, once declared that “even the rain that falls will not fill up the dams”. Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change
Tagged drought, El Niño, El Niño Southern Oscillation, ENSO, flood, La Niña
It wasn’t all that long ago when a number of climate scientists were projecting the Earth would soon fall into an almost permanent, increasing El Niño mode, where the surface temperatures of the equatorial Pacific would always be like what we saw in 1998 – all man-made. Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change
Tagged El Niño, El Niño Southern Oscillation, ENSO, La Niña, PlayStation® climatology
