Junk Science Week at the FP: Unsignificant Statistics

Original Content by JunkScience

“A statistically significant departure from an assumed-to-be-true null hypothesis is by itself no proof of anything. Likewise, failure to achieve statistical significance at the .05 or other stipulated level is not proof that nothing of importance has been discovered.”

New Yorker: What Nate Silver Gets Wrong

Original Content by JunkScience

“Can Nate Silver do no wrong? Between elections and baseball statistics, Silver has become America’s secular god of predictions. And now he has a best-seller, ‘The Signal and the Noise,’ in which he discusses the challenges and science of prediction . . .