Yet another dire climate change warning

The big risks  of climate change are more immediate and local than scientists previously though.

As scientists pack up for Japan to write the chapter on the effects of climate change, the leaks are all gloom and doom:

Increased violence

Food prices to rise between 3% and 84% by 2050.

Groundwater to decrease by 10% by 2080

Health from warmer termperatures

Increased wealth disparity.

A 3% change in food prices in 36 years?  That is withing the range of annual and seasonal variation noise.  I suppose food prices are supposed to be static.  The rest sure seems like the typical hype coming out of some big international climate do.  These warnings seem to build to a crescendo as one of these events get closer.  Just keepin’ up the skeer.

 

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7 responses to “Yet another dire climate change warning

  1. What annoys me is the fact that some jerk is going to travel to this talk fest at my and my families expense

  2. Does it really say between 3% and 84%?

  3. 3% in 36 years? WOW. Who knew Climate Change was going to be such an effective INFLATION fighter! Milk prices have risen over %100 in the US in the last 27 years (from $1.49 / Gallon when I got married to $3 more or less now). Thank God for Global Warming!

  4. I wonder if anyone actually believes any of this anymore, even the politicians.

    Why not just say the food prices will rise over 100% and be done with it,

    after all, Barley was around £30/tonne in the 1950′s and is now £200.

    except you have to take inflation into account.

  5. For perspective, this site has documented some food prices from the 70′s:
    http://www.thepeoplehistory.com/70sfood.html
    At historical rates of price inflation / currency devaluation I would consider an increase of only 84% in 36 years to be an improvement.

    • interesting note, the Fed’s target of 2% inflation works out to slightly more than doubling of price every 36 years. Over on the junk economics thread I just worked out that average inflation from 1914-2013 is 3.52% with a standard deviation of2.54% (Peak of 23.7% June of 1920 and low of -15.8 June of 1921).

      An 84% increase over 36 years works out to 1.7% annually, below average and well within the standard deviation. 3% over 36 years is 0.08% annually. I believe the technical term is “statistically insignificant”. We wish prices rose so slowly.

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