Mexico and Central America look like they are covered in dried blood on maps projecting future soil moisture conditions.
The results from 19 different state-of-the-art climate models project extreme and persistent drought conditions (colored dark red-brown on the maps) for almost all of Mexico, the midwestern United States and most of Central America.
If climate change pushes the global average temperature to 2.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial era levels, as many experts now expect, these regions will be under severe and permanent drought conditions.
Future conditions are projected to be worse than Mexico’s current drought or the U.S. Dust Bowl era of the 1930s that forced hundreds of thousands of people to migrate.
These are some of the conclusions of the study “Projections of Future Drought in the Continental United States and Mexico”, which was published in the December 2011 issue of the American Meteorological Society’s Journal of Hydrometeorology and has gone largely unnoticed.
“Drought conditions will prevail no matter what precipitation rates are in the future,” said co-author Michael Wehner, a climate scientist at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, a U.S. government research centre in California.
“Even in regions where rainfall increases, the soils will get drier. This is a very robust finding,” Wehner told Tierramérica.
Eh boy, again with the climate models. To date all the climate models have proven is their inability to predict climate events. I don’t see it as a stretch that a report put out by a U.N. sponsored news agency would predict the dire catastrophes warned of by other U.N. agencies to support a U.N. social agenda. The big fly in the ointment is of course that there has been no statistically significant warming since 1998 and predictions using traditional methods of research and observational data predict cooling for the next several decades. Mr. Brown alludes to struggling farmers trying to keep up with food production. Ahem, that’s a crock! Farmers in the U.S., the worlds bread basket, are only struggling to keep up with the myopic government spurred program of raising enough corn to produce more ethanol. If that same acreage were used to produce food crops, prices would plummet. Genocide and warfare are the leading cause of famine, not lack of product. The report also assumes that methods of crop irrigation and agricultural efficiency would remain static while the non-warming took place. I remember doing a college paper on world hunger in the ’70′s and reading Erhlich’ s fiction, “The Population Bomb”. He predicted a new ice age and pandemic starvation unless fossil fuel use was reduced and that there would be global uprising and chaos if the population rose above 3 billion. Ahem again, he was of course wrong but instead of admitting it, this butterfly researcher has doubled down and called for the “humane” reduction of the human population to 2 billion or so. What is a humane method of population reduction one should ask? Somehow I don’t see folks lining up ala Jim Jones to drink poisoned KoolAid in order to satisfy the ravings of an intellectually blinded social engineer. I would suggest using his butterfly nets on himself and the other misguided antihumanists and restrict them to a deserted island to play out their human devolutionary theories.
Well hey. There’s room for proof of this, since it adverts to global temperature and the Dust Bowl. Was the planet 2.5C warmer back during the Dust Bowl? And then we have to find the highly elevated anthropogenic CO2 levels to finish the picture. Good luck.