Met Office 3-month Outlook, 23 March 2012: The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier-than-average conditions for April-May-June as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months.
Reality: April likely to be ‘wettest on record’
A day of torrential rain has put Britain on course for the wettest April on record.
Three inches has fallen already this month and a further three is expected for the week ahead.
This will be far soggier than the previous wettest April in 2000, on 4.7 inches.
When theory and fact disagree, the scientist looks for a new theory. The Climatologist looks for someone else to blame. Or he ‘adjusts’ the data.