A paper published today in the Journal of Climate concludes “that natural variability, rather than long term climate change, dominates the sea surface temperature…changes over the 23 year period” from 1984 to 2006.
The authors find that observed warming of the ocean surface would have required a 6.1 W/m2 increase in heat flux from the Sun and ‘greenhouse gases’ to the oceans, but that paradoxically the heat flux from those sources instead decreased -3 W/m2. The authors therefore conclude ocean surface warming has been the result of natural variability from ocean oscillations rather than ‘climate change’ from man-made ‘greenhouse’ gases.


