Lifetime of carbon capture and storage as a climate-change mitigation technology

In carbon capture and storage (CCS), CO2 is captured at power plants and then injected underground into reservoirs like deep saline aquifers for long-term storage.

While CCS may be critical for the continued use of fossil fuels in a carbon-constrained world, the deployment of CCS has been hindered by uncertainty in geologic storage capacities and sustainable injection rates, which has contributed to the absence of concerted government policy. Here, we clarify the potential of CCS to mitigate emissions in the United States by developing a storage-capacity supply curve that, unlike current large-scale capacity estimates, is derived from the fluid mechanics of CO2 injection and trapping and incorporates injection-rate constraints. We show that storage supply is a dynamic quantity that grows with the duration of CCS, and we interpret the lifetime of CCS as the time for which the storage supply curve exceeds the storage demand curve from CO2 production. We show that in the United States, if CO2 production from power generation continues to rise at recent rates, then CCS can store enough CO2 to stabilize emissions at current levels for at least 100 y. This result suggests that the large-scale implementation of CCS is a geologically viable climate-change mitigation option in the United States over the next century.

PNAS

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2 Responses to Lifetime of carbon capture and storage as a climate-change mitigation technology

  1. How long before this so called “storage” comes back to haunt us? If the storage fails, and leaks, the stored CO2 can kill.

  2. Brian G Valentine

    If CO2 injection has no additional purpose (such as enhanced oil extraction), there is no purpose to inject it.

    Did it occur to any of the people proposing CCS that micro-organisms, hundreds of feet below the surface, could be suffocated by the CO2 – creating a worse environmental catastrophe than has been considered?

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