THE La Niña conditions that have contributed to flooding and heavy rainfall in Australia during the past two years have all but disappeared from the Pacific region, the Bureau of Meteorology says.
In its latest update on the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the bureau says La Nina conditions are no longer present in either the Pacific Ocean or the atmosphere.
It said the 2011-2012 La Niña began last spring, and played a key role in prolonged wet conditions for eastern Australian throughout summer and into early autumn.
“South-east Australia recorded its wettest seven-day period in history, and the combined effect of two back-to-back La Niña events contributed to Australia’s wettest two-year period on record,” the bureau said.
The weather bureau’s manager of climate prediction services, Dr Andrew Watkins, said that while this La Niña may be over, we still need to be cautious.
“The oceans around Australia remain warmer than normal, and the tropical wet season is expected to remain active until the end of April, bringing with it the possibility of tropical cyclones and further heavy rain,” Dr Watkins said.
He said the likelihood of a third successive La Niña remained low, with none of the models used by the bureau indicating a return.
I think you have to pay attention to what spring means in Australia. That is fall here in the U. S. My interpretation is La Nina started last October and ended a day ago.
The back to back La Nina events that brought on the wettest two years (on record) which also brought an end to a ten year drought cycle, which the AGW folk claimed was meant to continue and worsen. Yet another reason they need to change terminology from “global warming” to “climate change.” Silly changing climate… caused by humans… .