After being indoctrinated that “global warming” means permanent drought, rain makes Australians skeptikal

Warmies never learn. They seize on inconvenient/unpleasant weather and claim [whatever today's preferred term is] will make it permanent/worse. Then, when their predictions fail spectacularly, which they always do, it’s because people expect the wrong thing. Flimflam Flannery claimed several of Australia’s major cities would be out of water and abandoned years ago due to climate change (we were experiencing periodical drought at the time) – then Brisbane (one of the soon to be out of water cities) flooded spectacularly and the other states’ dams filled too.

This has all the usual claims of “unusually strong” La Niña but is not true. Where I live (north of Brisbane) we had a half-meter of rain in December (above average) but, as can be seen, La Niña conditions were relatively weak (they’ve picked up slightly now).

The rain makes us sceptical
Ewa Kretowicz
February 22, 2012

An unusually strong La Nina producing record rainfalls has increased the number of climate change sceptics and is a ”nightmare for politicians”, according to one of Australia’s leading climate scientists.

The co-director of the University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre, Professor Andy Pitman, says increased storm activity and floods have confused Australians who erroneously link climate change with drought.

The combined average Canberra city rainfall for January and February is 110mm but already more than 130mm has fallen on the capital this year. In Sydney more than 80mm of rain fell on the northern beaches on Monday.

”The percentage of the population that believes in global warming varies seasonally, so if you have a hot summer more people believe in global warming, if you have a cold winter less people believe in global warming,” Professor Pitman said.

”But global warming theory says weather will become more variable. It does not say it will only become hotter. Climate scientists have been saying for decades – more floods and more droughts, more heat waves and some extremely cold events.”

To tackle carbon emissions (the cause of climate change) Australia will set a carbon price from July 1, 2012 as an interim measure until a full emissions trading scheme can be introduced.

Yue Li waits for a bus under heavy skies after leaving work at Geoscience Australia in Symonston. Photo: Stuart Walmsley
Professor Pitman said recent weather along the east coast of Australia was within the ”classically defined characteristic of a La Nina”.

”Electorate support varies on whether it’s been a hot summer or cold summer. That puts politicians in a nightmare scenario,” he said.

Weatherzone meteorologist Doug Fenton expects above average rainfall along Australia’s east coast, including Canberra, until April.

”We’re experiencing a second La Nina summer in a row, so we’re essentially getting more moisture in across from the Pacific with the trade winds, so more moisture means that when we get triggers for rainfall, it’s heavier,” Mr Fenton said. ”The La Nina event is remaining well established and we’re not expecting it to return to neutral conditions until March or April which means there is likely to be above average rainfall for eastern Australia.”

The chief investigator at the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science Professor Matthew England said the intensity of the La Ninas in the past two years has been unusual.

”Last decade there were a couple in a row but what’s unusual is that the La Nina last year was one of the strongest ever recorded,” Professor England said.

”The waters off the coast of Australia were the warmest ever measured, so those aspects are unusual.’

Canberra Times

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5 responses to “After being indoctrinated that “global warming” means permanent drought, rain makes Australians skeptikal

  1. At the Climate Commission’s Hobart forum tonight, my son, Alfred, asked Prof. Flannery, “What if you’re wrong about AGW?”
    Flannery responded, “What’s AGW?”
    Alfred said, “Anthropogenic global warming; you know, man-made.”
    Flannery replied, “Oh, yeah. If we’re wrong, at the very least, we’ll have cleaner air because carbon dioxide and burning coal is bad, and we’ll have better energy. If we’re right we’ll have all the other benefits.”
    Alfred asked when Brisbane would run out of water, and Flannery stated, “Within the next couple of years.”

  2. I think that for older Australians, especially those over the age of 50 we are sceptical because we have experienced those conditions on previous occasions. This is certainly the case for me, since I experienced my first serious flood in 1978 in Windsor NSW when the flood gates of the Warragamba Dam were opened and the Nepean Hawkesbury river system was allowed to flood. This was around the 22nd March 1978. I was brought up in Melbourne and had never experienced flood, but I had experienced the extremely hot summers, including the extreme high around 19 January 1959. Those hot summers lasted through the 1960s and in that time we were placed on water restrictions complete with having to use buckets to water the garden!!

    Flim Flam is such a liar when he made those claims about running out of water. Sure, the situation was quite dire for a while, but to claim that we would never get the rains again was lacking in truth.

    With regard to the water situation the truth is that Sydney and Melbourne in particular had growing populations but no new dams had been built. This was the fault of the ALP governments, but the Liberals are not off the hook either. The new dams were necessary but thanks to the green types from about the 1970s onwards there was resistance. I heard the same story in regard to the needs for South East Queensland. Even Townsville when we were there was affected by the need for more water, which would have been eased if they had enough dams on hand.

    As for the rest, we had other measures in place which have been clearing the air which was necessary because of air pollution.

  3. Agree with you Aussie, and one of the problems is that when the next drought comes – as it surely will – we will have even more people and no new dams. Then the whole cycle of blaming people for ‘wasting’ water, killing our gardens, putting up prices and doing absolutely nothing else because a three-spotted something or other moth might be annoyed will start again.

  4. Johanna I actually think that the lack of building dams to cater for an increasing population is the real critical issue.

    It was an issue in Sydney when I lived there in recent years. It had been an issue in Canberra, but they are doing something about extending the major dam. It was an issue in Townsville, and I know it has been an issue in Golbourn. It was an issue in Melbourne as long ago as the 1970s. The problem then was the “NO DAMS” crowd. They were holding sway and they continue to hold sway.

  5. My son, Alfred (15), has reviewed the aforementioned Climate Commission forum in Hobart

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